Overview of Ontario 2007 Provincial Election Results

With the 2011 provincial election fast approaching, I thought it would be good to give a quick rundown of the results from the previous election on October 10th 2007. The Liberals under Dalton McGuinty received 42.25% of the popular vote and 71 seats out of 107. The PCs under John Tory received 31.62% of the popular vote and 26 seats. The NDP under Howard Hampton received 16.76% of the popular vote and 10 seats. Interestingly the Greens under Frank de Jong received 8.02% of the popular vote and no seats.

If the NDP can get their vote up to mid twenties they'll certainly gain significant seats. For the Liberals, they will definitely lose seats but how many is still unclear. 54 seats are required for a majority and it is looking doubtful that either the Tories or the Liberals will gain that many. Although there is a seat projection from threehundredeight.com that has the Liberals with a majority of 55 seats despite the Tories having a very slight edge in the popular vote. However one has to take these seat numbers with a bit of a grain of salt, as for the greater Toronto area the seat projections are 2 PCs 15 Liberals and 1 NDP, which seems highly unlikely. The result rests on how many people are willing to come out for McGuinty.